Friday, December 7, 2007

The $400K Price Point for 2 Bedroom Condos Has Been Breached


Only 12 months ago, finding a 2 bedroom in a desirable condo development throughout Brickell and Brickell Key for less than $500,000 seemed like quite a bargain. How times have changed! Nowadays, the new figure seems to be $400,000.

Neo Vertika currently has 11 two bedroom condos that are priced for under $400,000, Isola has 2, Courvoisier Courts has 3, One Miami has 7, Solaris at Brickell has 1, The Club at Brickell Bay (surprisingly only) has 2, The Mark on Brickell has 3 and Vue at Brickell has 11 (with 2 of the 11 two bedroom condos priced for under $300,000).

With the additional inventory, from the soon-to-be completed condo developments, I think the $400,000 price point for 2 bedroom condos in desirable condo buildings throughout Brickell and Brickell Key will become more commonplace in 2008.

Of course, the size and square footage of the condos needs to be taken into consideration. Most of these new condo developments are delivering 2 bedrooms that have 1,145-1,300 square feet. Anything larger will, of course, fetch higher prices. It should go without saying that 2 bedroom units at ultra-luxury condo buildings such as Jade, Four Seasons and Santa Maria are exempt from this discussion.

I’m actually looking forward to the opening of Plaza on Brickell in January. In my opinion, it offers the best value in Brickell. I think within 3-4 months after it opens we’ll see aggressively priced 2 bedroom condos throughout Brickell approach the $350,000 mark.

I was at the Plaza on Brickell sales office last week with out-of-the-country clients and we were both shocked by the prices that were offered. The prices had come down considerably since September, when they last visited the sales center with me. One bedroom units now start at around $210,000 and two bedroom condos start at around $340,000. Investors have become more motivated to sell as their closing date approaches.

A few days after I visited the sales center with my clients they told me that “at these prices we would regret not making an offer”. They are looking to hold for about 10 years. Where else in Brickell can you get such prices, much less in a brand new development? I think Plaza on Brickell will act as the buoy for the Brickell condo market.

This is why many investment groups have their eyes set on Plaza on Brickell. They all want to buy units in bulk at a deep discount to get positive cash flow. However, I don’t think that this will happen at this development. I think prices offered, at the present time, are appealing enough to end-users. They, too, have their eyes on the Miami condo market because it is in their own backyard.

I know from reading your comments lately that you all are very opinionated. So I ask you, where do you think 2 bedroom units will ultimately be priced? More specifically, where do you think the top 10% best priced two bedroom condos in the well known Brickell developments will be priced by the end of 2008?

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